I mentioned the other night that Gingrich’s post-primary speech was damned excellent, and it was. He made some perfect policy proposals, backing them with his pledge of his “life, fortune, and sacred honor” to see them implemented immediately in a new Contract With America. I have every confidence he’ll do just that. After all, he’s done it before:
Let’s talk briefly about the power of ideas. In 1980, I was very honored to be able to help put together the first Capitol steps. And at that point, Senate and House candidates came together with Governor Reagan. David Broder wrote about it in the Washington Post. It was a very courageous decision by Reagan because he didn’t have to run as part of a team. And he did something nobody had done before. And we won six U.S. Senate seats by a combined margin of 75,000 votes, and we picked up 33 House seats.
In 1994, building on that experience, we got 350 candidates to come and to be part of a Contract with America, to stand on the Capitol steps. We offered a positive program, and we had the largest one-party increase in American history in an off-year. Nine million additional Americans voted for a positive vision, and we kept our word, and every item in the contract was voted on in the first 93 days.
Now, that’s from one of the few transcripts of the speech I’ve been able to find, and the speech wasn’t given as this was written. Unsurprisingly, the coverage focused entirely on his “two-man race” statements, with scarcely a word being said about the specific proposals, which were stirring, encouraging, delivered with absolute seriousness and sincerity, and…well, just plain right. I finally did find a correct transcript (where else), and here’s the good stuff:
In the next few days, we’re going to develop the equivalent of the contract from 1994, except this is going to be a personal one between me and you, because I’m asking you to make me president and therefore, I have a personal responsibility. It’s going to come in two parts. Part one is conditional and requires your help. Part two, I can do if I win the election, without having to condition it.
Part one only works if you help me and we run a team campaign, which means, by the way, we have to replace Bill Nelson with a conservative.
But if you help us, and in addition to winning the presidency, we elect a Republican Senate and a Republican House, I will ask them on January 3rd to stay in office, and I will ask them to immediate pass the repeal of Obama-care.
I will ask them to immediately pass the repeal of the Dodd-Frank bill, which is killing housing, killing small business and killing independent banks.
And I will ask them to pass the repeal of Sarbanes- Oxley, which is crippling American businesses with no net profit.
And my goal is to have all three bills sitting there, waiting, so the minute I am sworn in, I can sign all three and we’re off to a pretty good opening morning.
(CROWD GOES NUTS–M)
Now those three promises are conditional. We have to win the Senate by a big enough margin to manage it and we have to increase our strength in the House. Help me do that, I’ll do those three.
Now let me tell you some things and we’re going to put this together in a way that you’ll be able to see in writing with my signature and you’ll be able to hold me accountable. There are a series of executive orders I can issue that the Congress can’t stop as long as they’re within the law. The very first executive order will abolish all of the White House czars as of that moment.
We will issue immediately an executive order on the same day. All of this is going to happen about two hours after the inaugural address.
OK? No point in hanging out and having fun. Before we get to go to the various balls that night, we’re going to have a work period. This is going to be a working presidency.
Now, I ask you: what’s not to like? And as I keep saying: unlike any of the other candidates out there, Newt has done this before. Against all odds, with the stiffest resistance the limp-dick Republican Statists and no-dick Democrat Socialists could muster. More details on the new Contract here, by the way. It’s good stuff, and the prospect of actually seeing it implemented–any of it, much less all of it–is electrifying, at least to me.
If Newt sticks with this positive, inspiring approach instead of getting into another shitfling with the lying dirtbag Romney, he will win the nomination. And unlike Romney, he will deserve to. And that leads us to another little problem for the Great Plastic Inevitable:
Last night, Brit Hume described the win appropriately: “He beat Newt Gingrich by bombing him back into the stone age” with negative ads.
Despite Romney’s apparently straight-faced yet completely false assertions that he tried to run a positive campaign and only went negative because Newt outspent him in South Carolina, Romney showed himself to be devoid of the ability to inspire the conservative base. Tellingly, turnout in Florida was down significantly from 2008; by contrast, in South Carolina turnout was up significantly.
More (warning: PuffHo link):
Overall, turnout was down in the Florida Republican primary from 2008. In 2008, 1.95 million votes were cast in the Republican primary, compared to 1.67 million cast in 2012 (reported by the Florida State Board of Elections as of the morning of Feb. 1). A decline of 280,000 votes. What does it mean?
Mitt Romney needs only to look in the mirror — or better yet, the graph below — to see who is to blame for the decline in turnout. The fact is, they’re just not that into you, Mitt.
In the graph I’ve plotted by county the percent vote for Gingrich against the percent change in turnout from 2008 to 2012. The graph tells a clear story. In counties where Gingrich did better, Republican turnout was up over 2008. In counties where Romney dominated, turnout was lower.
Conservative turnout will be depressed in any election where there is no conservative to vote for and the base has been demoralized and is apathetic due to the incredible arrogance of the people who take their votes for granted and insist they stay on the plantation no matter what. “I’m not the other guy” is simply not good enough any more, and being sold a bill of goods by a power-mad charlatan pretending to be a conservative ain’t either. If nominated, Romney will not win. The “electability” argument is horseshit, of the purest ray serene. If the establishment RINOs and Coulters among us really want to advance conservative principles, they need to stop acting as if they’re too scary or offensive to the so-called “moderates” and “independents” and acting ashamed of them.
Which, by the way, it would seem that those “independents” aren’t nearly as numerous as some would have you believe, either. All in all, if Mitt gets the nomination it adds up to an electoral disaster of exactly the type and magnitude the Mittbots keep screaming at real conservatives about.