Divemedic, with about as astute an analysis as I’ve seen yet of what I long ago dubbed “The Coming Unpleasantness” will most probably look like.
The Civil War you imagine and fantasize about isn’t going to happen the way you think. There won’t be “front lines”, there probably won’t even be an insurgency, not in the beginning, anyway.
What you’re going to see is “The Troubles” on meth and steroids (And if you’re too young or too stupid to know what those were, fire up the Googlemachine.)
It’s going to be a lot of assassinations, kidnappings, and disappearances. Retributions and retributions for retributions. It’s going to be bombings and quick drive by skirmishes. The military will have next to no role in it other than on the ground checkpoint monitors and hardening their own instillations.
Your F-15 pilot won’t fly missions after the last time his squad mate did, and landed to find his family laying in the street.
It’s not going to be the far right vs the government alone. It’s going to be the militant left against the militant right, and the government. Battles are going to be fought everywhere and nowhere.
A friend of mine thinks it’ll be more like “The Purge” petty feuds with the HOA or neighbors finally take vengeance for some perceived wrong.
And I’m here to tell you, it’s going to be both.
Sounds too much like Hobbes’s horrific “war of all against all” to suit my tastes; whatever the case may turn out to be, I am waaaay too old for this shit.
I agree it’s not going to be a war with “front lines” or recognizable sides, with one exception. If the leaders in some of the state actually decided to be Americans, and if that led to states banding together, then you might get something resembling a battle. The likelihood of that happening? Can you have a negative value?
Wait until they get hungry for food or drugs in the inner city, that’s where the real action will start. Roving gangs will emerge to pillage all that have no protection.
And where do you think our* government will be? On the side of the criminal class of course. You don’t think they let rapists, murderer’s, thieves, and looters out with no punishment for no reason do you?
*well, not really ours. It’s their’s and they intend to use it.
FedGov becomes impotent under such circumstances in about a week.
Roving gangs?
Meet BFYTW citizens.
NYFC will take it in the @$$, but a lot of other cities will take it as an opportunity to clean house with zero blowback, and suddenly, the hoods will be the most crime-free part of the country, because anything – from an argument to major violent felonies – will become a capital offense, punishable by curbside trail and execution of sentence at between 900 and 3200 fps, and appeals only to Jesus, and not here, but in the hereafter.
0% recidivism, by supper time.
Once Stupid hurts, you get a whole lot less of it.
The final shootout in Death Wish 3 becomes the norm, and Americans have cleaning up the Wild West in their blood.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n60V_OCHg1M
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1iicXiKANNE
And once the policing of the last century goes away, it isn’t coming back, pretty much ever.