Explicating the inexplicable

I’ve for the most part dropped any further mention of how the theft of the 2020 “election” was accomplished, as well as endless recounts and the like. I can’t really forego the pointless and delusional onanism common in certain quarters insisting that soon—ANY MINUTE NOW!!!—***”president”*** Brandon’s transparently fraudulent “victory” will surely be decertified, whereupon the true President will be restored to his rightful position, since I never bought into any of that starry-eyed silliness in the first place. We all know full well that Trump, along with every Real American who believes he has a God-given right to his say in how and by whom he is governed, was robbed.

The deed has been done; the palace coup which began with the original crime wet firecracker Bill Barr correctly called “one of the greatest travesties in American history” went off without a hiccup, a YUUUUGE success. There is now only one means by which that crime can possibly be addressed, by which justice can be achieved at last. We all know full well what that means is, too.

All that said, though, this thorough and unique analysis is just too damned good to let pass by without at least taking note of it.

Eleven months after the 2020 American presidential election, the official results remain so incongruous, they merit an empirical exegesis.

The political establishment’s narrative is that Biden won an unexpectedly close race, and the outcome requires no further examination. Yet, Biden’s victory is so statistically suspicious, so riddled with ahistorical outcomes, that a detailed data examination is necessary to reassure Americans the official result was, in fact, the actual result.

The political establishment’s narrative is that Biden won an unexpectedly close race, and the outcome requires no further examination. Yet, Biden’s victory is so statistically suspicious, so riddled with ahistorical outcomes, that a detailed data examination is necessary to reassure Americans the official result was, in fact, the actual result.

Official tallies record 161.3 million votes cast in 2020. Donald Trump got 75 million of those votes, 12.1 million above his 2016 total, and the most votes ever received by an incumbent president. Joe Biden received 81.2 million votes, the most votes for anyone who has sought the presidency.

Biden received 306 Electoral College (EC) votes to Trump’s 232. The individual vote totals behind that victory show an amazingly slim margin of victory for Biden. He won Arizona (11 EC votes), Georgia (16 EC votes), and Wisconsin (10 EC votes) by a combined 43,809 votes, which made the difference between victory and an Electoral College tie.

Now, let’s consider nine categories of suspicious anomalies that led to Biden’s squeaker of a victory.

I. Census Bureau Data
In 2020, the Census Bureau found 5 million fewer voters than the number of ballots counted. This is the largest gap recorded since these post-election surveys began in 1964. These 5 million excess ballots account for most of Biden’s national popular vote lead. To cite one state-level example, the Census Bureau found 4.8 million voters in Georgia, but Georgia reported 5 million counted ballots.

The Census Bureau’s validated voter survey is a very thorough and comprehensive piece of post-election data analysis. Historically, it has been far more accurate than exit polling and other post-election surveys and studies, as Robert Barnes, a leading political analyst and successful political prognosticator, explained in early May on his “What Are the Odds?” podcast.

The nationwide excess of counted ballots over registered voters in 2020 is extremely unusual. Census data usually finds a very small differential between the number of people they identify as having voted in the previous presidential election and the official total number of ballots counted in that election. In 2016, Census voting data matched almost precisely the number of ballots counted.

Historically, when Census data has differed from the official ballot count, it has tended to overestimate, rather than underestimate, the number of voters. The opposite was the case in the 2020 election.

Most revealingly, the Census data shows the turnout surge was almost exclusively among White blue-collar voters, an overwhelmingly pro-Trump cohort. Yet, somehow, the surge favored Biden in the end.

Turnout in 2020 was 6.7 percentage points higher than in 2016. The Census data on overall turnout, and turnout among specific demographic groups, closely aligns with the macro- and micro-turnout predictions made respectively by Barnes and Richard Baris, the preeminent pollster and managing director of Big Data Poll, and polling data at my firm, Democracy Institute, which forecast a Trump win.

I won’t excerpt any more of it, although the temptation to post a much bigger bite is pretty powerful. The piece is broken down into nine sections, each of which approaches its individual issue from a highly unusual and intriguing angle. It’s a long ‘un right enough, but when you reach the end of it you’ll swear it ain’t anywhere near long enough, I bet. The closer:

A synthesis of the empirical evidence, innumerable anomalies, and predictive metrics leads to an inescapable conclusion about the 2020 presidential election. Although it is statistically possible that Biden won, clearly it is statistically implausible that he actually did.

If you go through the comments section you’ll find the usual shitlib sophists and pedants straining mightily to pooh-pooh the inescapable conclusion in their usual fashion, disingenuously sidestepping the real crux of the matter: Even if one is willing to dismiss this well-reasoned article’s arguments, it still amounts to a single evidentiary nugget mined from a whole quarry’s worth of malfeasance and skullduggery.

It’s almost possible to “prove” that a given election was indeed stolen, as even NPR admitted back in 2007. But when there are causes for suspicion as numerous as this, none but an insensate fool (or a co-conspirator) could fail to perceive a rank odor of corruption wafting off the whole rotten enterprise. In lawyerly circles, what we have here is known as a preponderance of the evidence. And, as the late Rush Limbaugh always said, words mean things. To wit:

preponderance of the evidence

Overview
Preponderance of the evidence is one type of evidentiary standard used in a burden of proof analysis. Under the preponderance standard, the burden of proof is met when the party with the burden convinces the fact finder that there is a greater than 50% chance that the claim is true. This is the burden of proof in a civil trial.

In the trial we might call 2020 Election Thieves vs Real Americans, the evidence is voluminous, diverse, and entirely credible. It clearly establishes Defendant’s guilt for wilfully and knowingly perpetrating the serious crime of election fraud, if only by the sheer number of items and instances introduced into evidence by the prosecution. As such, ladies and gentlemen of the jury, your vote must be, can only be, to convict. The evidence demands it. The law demands it. Most important of all, perhaps, JUSTICE ITSELF demands it.

Sentencing to follow.

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Bill Quick

Sigh. You can’t beat delusion with rationality. The lines have been drawn. The only way any of this will ever matter is if the autrocrat running America 2.0 is an American nationalist who decrees a trial of the facts of the matter.

But I suspect it would be moot at that point, because most of the guilty will have already been wiped out and safely stored in forever boxes six feet under.

Barry

Sentencing to follow.

I think I’m ready to follow the Alice way, sentence first, verdict later.

John Wilder

“An election so perfectly free of fraud it’s treasonous to want to look for fraud.”

kennycan

Mike, I don’t see the link to the underlying article on the fraud. Did I miss it?

PaulHeit

I just created a login so I could tell Kenny the article hyperlink and you just beat me to it!

Barry

Welcome to Cold Fury, Paul.

kennycan

Thank you. I’ll be perusing through it and tossing it at POS Liars for weeks on end!

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