The esteemed (and usually estoned and esdrunked, to swipe one of my old friend Pfouts’ most memorable lines) Matt Margolis asks one of the silliest—no, make that the stupidest—questions of all time.
Oh, Matt, Matt, Matt, Matt! To ask it is to answer it, I’m afraid. And while we’re on the subject…
Claude is down, so I had to make use of Grok to estimate how long it will take for US and Israeli air defense systems to run out of interceptors. No precise calculation is possible, especially since the in-theater total is a subset of the entire US stock, but it appears obvious that both the USA and Israel will be effectively unable to defend against missile barrages by this time next week at the latest.
…Claude is back up and here are its estimates:
Estimated total: roughly 1,400-1,500+ projectiles launched by Iran across all theaters in ~36-48 hours, with the vast majority intercepted but a significant number — perhaps 70-100+ — making impact. At least 14 people killed outside Iran (10 in Israel, 3 in UAE, 1 in Kuwait, 1 in Bahrain) plus 4 US service members, with hundreds injured.
Pretty gosh-darn scary, I suppose—provided everything carries on exactly as it has so far, with no changes, disruptions, or unlooked-for situational shifts either great or small coming to bollix everything up. Which, as we all know very well, has never been the case, and is never going to be, wartime or no.
It’s the exact same thought-pattern that gullible types and/or shitlibs have been tripped up by for many years, one of the most seductive intellectual traps there is: just because this is the way things are NOW, things will keep on just like this forever and ever, amen. T’ain’t so, McGee.












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