There never was a first one—not that remotely resembled the pig in a poke we were sold, anyway.
The coronavirus doomsayers could not even wait until the fall for the apocalyptic announcements of the dreaded second wave. Because the red states recklessly loosened their lockdowns, we are now told, the US is seeing a dangerous spike in coronavirus cases. ‘EXPERTS SKETCH GLOOMY PICTURE OF VIRUS SPREAD: FAUCI TELLS OF “DISTURBING” WAVE, WITH A VACCINE MONTHS AWAY,’ read the front-page lead headline in the New York Times on Wednesday. ‘VIRUS SPREAD AKIN TO “FOREST FIRE”’ read another front page headline in the Los Angeles Times on Monday, quoting Michael Osterholm, one of the media’s favorite public health experts. Osterholm had told NBC’s Meet the Press: ‘I’m actually of the mind right now — I think this is more like a forest fire. I don’t think that this is going to slow down.’
The ‘this’ is an uptick in daily new cases from 19,002 on June 9 to 38,386 on June 24. The high to date in new daily cases was on April 24 — 39,072. Since April 24, the daily case count started declining, then began rising again after around June 9. What virtually every fear-mongering story on America’s allegedly precarious situation leaves out, however, is the steadily dropping daily death numbers — from a high of 2,693 on April 21 to 808 on June 24. That April high was driven by New York City and its environs; those New York death numbers have declined, but they have not been replaced by deaths in the rest of the country. This should be good news. Instead, it is no news.
There are no crises in hospital capacity anywhere in the country. Nursing homes, meat-packing plants, and prisons remain the main sources of new infections. Half the states are seeing cases decline or hold steady. Case counts are affected by more testing; the positive infection rate captured by testing is declining. The current caseload is younger, which is a good thing. The more people who have been infected and who recover, the more herd immunity is created. Meanwhile, daily deaths from heart disease and cancer — about 3,400 a day combined — go ignored in the press.
From all I’ve seen, the “exploding” number of case counts currently threatening to exterminate all life on Earth (almost all of which cases are asymptomatic) closely tracks with the huge increase in testing, which only stands to reason. Hey, anybody out there remember when our masters were saying America dared not reopen until more testing was done? It was the second subterfuge they used to extend their usurpation of freedom, right after “flatten the curve” and before the ludicrous “not until there’s a vaccine.” Of course, it was a lie; all three of these stalling tactics were, along with pretty much everything else they’ve said about this phony crisis. But still—good times, good times.
More inconvenient truths, actual data, and genuine science that will be ignored in favor of continued Commie opression:
Early in the epidemic, public-health experts feared the virus might kill up to 2 percent of those infected, potentially causing millions of deaths in the United States and tens of millions worldwide. Those terrifying estimates prompted the lockdowns that have done incalculable harm to the economy, shattered small businesses and left children traumatized and untold numbers suffering from brutal isolation.
In fact, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated in May that the coronavirus kills about 0.26 percent of the people it infects, about 1 in 400 people. New estimates from Sweden suggest that only 1 in 10,000 people under 50 will die from the virus, compared to 1 in 14 of people over 80 and 1 in 6 of those over 90.
To be sure, these estimates still have some uncertainty. The actual figure could be as low as 0.1 percent or as high as 0.4 to 0.5 percent, though treatment advances should mean it will trend lower over time. Even at 0.26 percent, the rate is still significantly higher than influenza most years, more comparable to a bad flu strain like the 1968 Hong Kong flu.
But it is far lower than we initially thought — a fact that should be cause for celebration.
Instead, some media outlets insist on using the out-of-date estimates that are much higher. For example, an ESPN article this week said public discussions about reopening the National Football League were “ignoring a mortality rate that has been estimated at 1.4 percent.” That figure is more than five times the CDC’s best estimate. Even more jarring, it is more than 100 times the actual risk to people in their 20s and 30s — the age range for nearly all NFL players.
Using those overstated estimates is a recipe for panic, bad public policy — and continued lockdowns that may delay to return to normality.
Let’s hope that isn’t the reason people in the media are using them.
OF COURSE it’s the reason, you big silly. What other reason could there be? What, you think the same Enemedia that tripped over itself to gleefully praise the national spree of urban violence and destruction is all of a sudden suffused with concern about a clear and serious danger to the health and well-being of Americans or something? Gedouddahere, willya.
The COVID shamdemic was much ado about very little all along, the proof of which is mounting every single day. And you can be sure that the Clampdown is going to continue, with onerous restrictions and requirements; patently illegal and unconstitutional decrees; a total rejiggering of our routines, habits, and daily lives without our consent; and an ongoing metastasization of the Amerikan police/surveillance state and its authoritarian powers, regardless of what the science is telling us. Perhaps that might provide a sharpish hint as to what this is really about, no?
WE. HAVE. BEEN. HAD. They fully intend to bend us over and have us again, too—in the exact same way, using the exact same lies as their justification. If we passively allow it to happen, then we deserve no better, and never really did.
(Both via Insty)
Update! Lest we forget: even the underwhelming reported body count is a sham.
Dr. Deborah Birx, the respected physician who heads the Trump administration’s coronavirus team, reportedly argued back in May at a closed Centers for Disease Control meeting that the agency’s death estimates were 25% too high, according to a Washington Post report.
Anecdotal evidence at the state level suggests this is true. In fact, estimates may be off by more than 25%.
…But the fact remains: The death totals are almost certainly grossly exaggerated due to intentional miscounting. There are strong incentives to over-report, but few to under-report.
The Centers for Disease Control admits as much in its June 24 update of the data:
“For 7% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned. For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 2.5 additional conditions or causes per death.”
So in only one in 14 deaths out of the current total of 125,000 can COVID-19 be said to be the actual cause.
As grotesque a manipulation as all that is, though, it’s just the tip of the deception and hype iceberg:
This Issues & Insights editorial (cited above—M) does a good job of bringing together some of the relevant data. But let’s start with something they didn’t mention: this acknowledgement by the Director of the Illinois Department of Public Health:
I just want to be clear in terms of the definition of people dying of COVID. So, the case definition is very simplistic. It means that at the time of death it was a COVID-positive diagnosis. So that means if you were in hospice and had already been given, you know, a few weeks to live and then you were also found to have COVID, that would be counted as a COVID death. It means that if, technically, even if you died of a clear alternate cause but you had COVID at the same time it’s still listed as a COVID death. So, everyone that’s listed as a COVID death doesn’t mean that that was the cause of the death, but they had COVID at the time of death.
That certainly is clarifying.
Ain’t it, though. Ain’t it just. John finishes up:
Why is this important? Because in all likelihood, the actual Wuhan fatality rate is not much different from a relatively virulent seasonal flu. Every year, the seasonal flu bug kills tens of thousands of Americans. Just two years ago, the CDC says it killed 62,000–and that was without a Medicare spiff or other pressures to build up the numbers. The reality is, I think, that in response to the COVID-19 epidemic, we devastated our economy–which means that we devastated tens or hundreds of millions of lives–needlessly.
So what do we do next year, or the year after? It is a virtual certainty that during next year’s flu season, absent a comprehensive shutdown, and perhaps with a shutdown, tens of thousands of Americans will die, and have their deaths attributed to that virus. COVID-19 presumably will still be active and will add to the total. There are powerful forces in our society that yearn to shut down economic activity and thereby increase poverty, unemployment and dependence on government. Those forces likely control the Democratic Party, which could well be in charge of the Executive Branch in January.
Without any track record of sensible risk assessment, what will stand in the way of another shutdown next Winter? Or the year after that? The case for hysteria will be more or less as strong as it was this year.
The case was never strong at all. The problem is that enough of us are weak, cowardly, and stupid enough to let them get away with it anyway.
And because of that stupidity, cowardice, and total absence of any will whatsoever to resist the abridging of Constitutional rights and freedoms they neither appreciate nor understand, you can count on occasional shutdowns, masks, social distancing, one-way grocery store aisles and bare shelves, plastic sneeze-guards between you and the cashier, and the rest of the Commie rot as now being integral parts of our New American Life. Those things and more were always on Big Boss Man’s wish list, and now that he’s seen how easy it was to get ’em, only a fool would think he’ll ever give them up.
Stalin could only dream of having a slave class as docile and compliant as present-day America’s.
I go by deaths as well, even knowing that many recorded chinaVirus deaths were due to the frailty that existed prior to the contraction of the virus.
This is the same as the first time around, a hoax designed to damage the economy and keep Trump from a 2nd term.
Yes, they would destroy the entire economy to stop Trump. They’ll kill Granny to stop Trump (send the sick to nursing homes).
It looked as though the economic damage was recoverable, so they trotted out the new fear.
Yep. Second verse, same as the first.
This all comes back to the mal-education system, and the left’s multi-generation effort to produce ignorant, illiterate, innumerate sheep. Much of the nation knows only false history like the Zinn garbage. Rather than being taught the principles of our founding they are taught to hate America. They are incapable of dealing with math beyond basic algebra (if that), and are totally unable to recognize when they are being lied to with statistics. And for all the talk about how much they love SCIENCE!!!, they do not understand even the most basic concepts of the actual genuine article.
“And for all the talk about how much they love SCIENCE!!!…”
What they love are corrupted paid for “scientists” that will fabricate the prog line. They wouldn’t recognize science if it bit them in the ass.
Excellent compendium of article links, quotes and interspersed comments from yourself.
Tell someone 120,000 people died and they can only conceptualize that in a vacuum. Tell someone how many people die each year in the US overall or in car accidents or of cancer so that there is some relative context to it and they really can’t grasp it. None of those other things are something they’ve been conditioned to think is out of the ordinary. Tell them it’s Coronavirus-19 or COVID-19, a massive unseen killer sent from a bioweapons lab in China and they can no longer normalize it and therefore cannot analyze it. Their Fight or Flight impulses have been triggered and they end up fleeing to “safe spaces’ irrationally.
Near 250,000 die each month in the USA, 8000 a day. Most people have no clue what the actual normal death rate is.
It’s too early to see the entire data set to date, but through March of this year, deaths were down from pneumonia and flu as the deaths were attributed to chinaVirus. In early April the chinaVirus became the leading cause of death in the USA, but death rates remain the same or slightly lower. I shouldn’t have to tell you that dead is dead and attribution to the chinaVirus, flu, pneumonia, heart attack, etc matters not to the dead. If the same number are dying then it means the cause of death just gets a new name…
The virus is real, don’t get me wrong. We take steps to keep it away from my bride as she is at higher risk than average. It certainly causes death to occur for some earlier than would have otherwise happed, but when 25 % of American deaths are occurring in nursing homes, and near 50% of the chinaVirus deaths are occurring in nursing homes, and 50% of residents die with 6 months upon admittance, and very few under age 65 die from it, you can figure for yourself why governments want to shut the economy down and make you stand on one leg and wear a mask. And it ain’t about protecting you from the virus.