Cold Fury

Harshing your mellow since 9/01

Demographics is NOT destiny?

It’s never wise to contradict Steyn, in my opinion. But this guy makes an encouraging case.

A special election is scheduled for September 10 in North Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District to replace former incumbent Walter Jones, the long-serving Republican who died earlier this year. The district is solidly Republican. Jones earned twice as many votes as his Democratic challenger in nearly every election since he first took office in 1995.

But the district is interesting for another reason, one that every Republican strategist in America should study. It is one of 47 congressional districts in the United States where, in the 2018 midterm elections, a majority of nonwhite voters were projected to vote Republican.

The following map, prepared by elections analyst Geoffrey Skelly at FiveThirtyEight, shows the congressional districts (red) where, if no one but nonwhite people voted, Republican candidates would still be likely to win.

It’s hard to overstate the significance of these 47 congressional districts. They belie the smug certainty on the part of Democratic politicians and strategists across the United States who equate the demographic transformation of America with an inevitable and unbreakable Democratic majority.

Take mass nonwhite immigration, higher birth rates for nonwhites, mix in identity politics and leftist, race-centric indoctrination against “white privilege,” and voila, America becomes a one-party state.

Or does it?

Interesting proposition for sure. I can neither agree nor disagree, honestly; Steyn’s old “demography is destiny” line is aimed more specifically at the disastrous mass influx of unassimilable Muslims into a Western culture they despise anyway, as is his related truism that “the future belongs to those who show up for it.”

But might it be possible, at least, that the Democrat-Socialist hail-Mary campaign to replace the American electorate with Mexican and Central American illegals might turn out to be futile? Has Trump shifted all the normal paradigms so significantly that this hoary old assumption, like so many others, also no longer holds?

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2 thoughts on “Demographics is NOT destiny?

  1. Nothing is eternally fated, so in that sense “demography is destiny” is an overstatement. However, in the near term we can count on certain patterns in human behavior: a sort of inertia of the psyche. One of those patterns is reciprocity toward those who’ve given you what you seek…and the Democrats have labored mightily to persuade “minorities” that they owe the Dems specifically for whatever benefit they have in this nation and this life.

    The Democrats are canny enough to use this effect to regain power. After that, who knows what stratagem they have in mind for retaining power forever? Is there any real doubt that that’s their true goal?

  2. Enock Powell warned the UK that the immigration of third worlders to Britain would undermine the character and culture of the country. Been to London recently, over 50% of its denizens were not born in the UK. Acid attacks, knive crimes, a crime rate three times worse than NYC!

    If you believe demographics isn’t destiny I invite you to look at Lebanon, Egypt, Iraq, Syria, Iran all nations where minorities have been eliminated or are in the process of being eliminated. France, Germany, Sweden beckon to us and say this could be you. Does anyone believe these nations have benefited from the inflow of cultures dredged from the bilges of the world? Does anyone believe Minneapolis loves its Somalis? Convince me.

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