Cold Fury

Harshing your mellow since 9/01

“Cerulean tsunami”?

Polls are bunk. They’re masturbatory amusements for people who either are obssessed with politics, or make their living off of them in one way or another.

Mark Penn, chairman of the Harris Poll and former pollster to President Clinton from 1995 to 2000, provides a description of the polling business that few pollsters or media types will find flattering. In a recent column for the Hill, he indicted the “pundit-polling-news establishment” for studiously ignoring the blindingly obvious lessons of 2016. In his estimation, the major polling firms and news organizations to whom they purport to provide objective data have made no meaningful changes in the methodology that led them to miss the seismic shift in voter attitudes that led to President Trump’s 2016 victory:

Almost two years later, very little has changed in polling and analysis at major institutions and news media. If anything, the polling has drifted even further from reality when you look at the questions being asked and, more importantly, the questions not being asked. You don’t need polls to see the America you live in. You need polls to understand the part of America you don’t know.

Penn clearly believes that the use of public opinion surveys as information-gathering tools with which to gauge the general mood and specific concerns of the voters is a dying art. They are now used primarily to reinforce the editorial line of the news organization for which they are ostensibly gathering information. If a news network or publication is opposed to the policies of President Trump, the pollsters tend to “focus on the anti-Trump storyline as though the point of the questions is to prove the validity of that coverage.” That may keep the customer satisfied, but it also means the “polling could be missing reality, again.”

And that is not good news for the Democrats. They can’t win a majority in either house of Congress based on media happy talk about public opinion polls that tell you more about who’s paying for them than what the voters are actually thinking. Which brings us to all those “news” stories about the generic ballot and the allegedly imminent blue wave. Does any of it really mean anything? Probably not. 

The only poll that counts is the one held on election day.

Glenn is always reminding us “don’t get cocky,” which is good enough advice in most any situation, I suppose. But the Democrat Socialists have absolutely nothing to offer but more of the same tired Tyranny Party agenda whose disastrous 70-year tenure has brought us: economic collapse; international humiliation; escalating threats from dangerous enemies which were met not with defiant resolve but with groveling, appeasement, and bribery; urban riots perpetrated with impunity by mouthy brats, wastrel ghetto thugs, and masked revolutionaries; strangling bureaucracy and red tape choking out individual freedom and independence; a refusal to properly exploit our natural resources in favor of promoting unworkable “renewable” energy with government money; rising taxes, spending, regulation, and government interference; invasion by hordes of illegal aliens and hostile, unassimilable jihadists; a failed government takeover of the health care system that resulted in more confusion, higher costs, and longer waits for inferior care—these and lots more (and worse) are the true planks of the Democrat Socialist platform.

That’s been their platform for years, which is bad enough in the current climate. But it’s even worse for them now; all they have to add to that litany of loserdom is their lunatic rejection of Trump and the numerous undeniable benefits his unraveling of Progtard-mandated decline, destruction, degeneracy, and anomie have already shown. I could be all wet, but all this being so—and it is—I just can’t see any “blue wave” washing up on these shores anytime soon.

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2 thoughts on ““Cerulean tsunami”?

  1. Part of the reason polls are bunk is that *some* of us give bogus answers just for fun!

  2. You read my mind, Vince. That is exactly what I do regarding every poll, even that Nielson rating crap they throw my way. I love lying to pollsters. It’s fun.

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